L-NP 61.5 to ALP’s 38.5

Yowsa.

In the latest Morgan Poll L-NP support is 61.5% (up 3.5% since last week’s face-to-face Morgan Poll) compared to the ALP’s 38.5% (down 3.5%) on a two-party preferred basis according to a face-to-face Morgan Poll conducted last weekend, May 26/27, 2012. This is a record two-party preferred lead for the L-NP in over 70 years of the Morgan Poll based on how electors said they’d vote.

Today’s face-to-face Morgan Poll shows the L-NP primary vote is 49% (up 3.5%) well ahead of the ALP 27.5% (down 4.5%). Support for the minor parties shows the Greens 13% (up 2.5%) and Independents/ Others 10.5% (down 1.5%).

Newspoll gives slightly better results but it’s still dire.

That said, Opposition leader Tony Abbott has cautioned his team not to rest on their laurels.

“Gillard won’t lie down and die. Where there’s life, there’s fight,” Mr Abbott said.

“Our job won’t be over until the next election is won.”

Businesses aren’t made up of working mums and dads?

Bolta’s done a good wrap-up of what all the usual suspects have to say about the federal budget handed down last night. The over-riding theme is that it’s taking money from business and giving it to working families.

This isn’t money just being withheld from big business like greedy banks and evil mining companies, but also small and medium businesses.

Especially in the case of small business which does a great deal to power the Australian economy, but also with medium and large, aren’t these businesses made up of people?

Or is it just evil corporations?

By withholding business tax cuts, isn’t that still taking food off the tables of working families, particularly so in the case of small owner-operator businesses?

But even with the bigger businesses, wouldn’t this also translate to deferred pay rises, reduced or static benefits, longer hours away from the home etc. in order to make up for a likely unanticipated balance sheet shortfall?

Isn’t the Gillard government, in effect, taking money away from working people only to give back (probably less) to working people?

A big useless money-go-round?

Yet another piece of spin?

Good luck with that one, Wayne

So the treasurer Wayne Swan reckons he can reign in a $20 billion deficit, that actually blew out to a $44 billion deficit, and turn it into a $1.5 billion surplus in 12 months.

Oooookay. Sorry if we don’t hold that one in much faith, Wayne.

WILL go easy on Wayne and Co. for getting rid of some public service jobs, but they’re missing such a great opportunity. Why, there’s a whole department there they could get rid of. Heck, the people working there probably wouldn’t mind, either.

And what’s all this taking the NBN, the $37 billion NBN, off the books completely? And the $10 billion green loans scheme? That’s a nice little $50 billion windfall. Nothing sus.

Did Craig Thomson help Wayne out finding some spare cash?

Rise and shine, Julia. You are f***ing gone

And the rest of your mob, too.

Read it and weep.

If they still manage to cover this one up, I’ll be…

Seems you’re right Larry – from the proverbial “reliable source” in PM&C and quite a few other places, a Woodward story to bring down the government

“The spin is that Juliar has gone full NKVD on ‘parliamentary standards’ re Slipper and Shagger. Of course, it’s bollocks.

Nothing could apparently be further from the truth.The reality according to PM&C sources is that it all revolves around the Temby Report and Police investigations into Thomson’s involvement in HSU corruption. It’s much worse than we think and Shagger’s in it up to his eyeballs – and so are a bunch of others (‘d’ye think Shagger shagged all those whores himself?’ was the word).

I was informed that “…so the evidence is devastating! That’s why Short-arse [Shorten] panicked and monstered HSU east with deregistration. He also screamed over to ACTUHQ and got them to disenfranchise them chop-chop, although that’s partially to nobble Jackson, who they MUST destroy to cover their arses. If Jackson can act officially on what’s in those reports they are all f***ed. As in ‘your cell-mate is Bubba’ f***ed. Short-arse is trying desperately to stop the spread of what’s in the report. If it stays with him and his Department he’ll be able to bury it deep.’

I asked about Shagger’s change of tack from ‘release it’ to ‘no f***ing way can it be released’. Answer: “… so it’s f***ing dynamite. Thompson read it and apparently fainted or wet himself, sources vary. Dumbslut [Gillard] read it Saturday and probably cried herself to sleep after giving Tim the Beard a grudge-f*** up the dirt road. That’s why Dumbslut had bags under her eyes Sunday. She cut Thompson off straight up, THAT’s how bad it is. Rumours in the ACTU are that they are opening all the slush funds on this one to keep Thompson out of gaol, buy favours and help Short-arse bury the report. If Short-arse succeeds, he’ll probably dethrone Dumbslut as PM. You ain’t seen nothing yet in obfuscation, the spinners are already working overtime.’

Now, I stress this is from a deeply cynical operator, but this operator has hellacious good contacts south of the lake. He reckons that the security being wrapped around the report is extraordinary – but that EVERYONE wants to see it so they can leak it.

This is going to be entertaining.”

The Canberra presstitute might be finally waking up that there’s a chance to bring down a government with one story here. Get the full report (wikileaks?), and it’s probably done – Presstitute’s version of fame for life.

H/T Sean

UPDATE

Here’s what CAN be printed in the major dailies.

The full report is due at the end of May. Should be an interesting month.

It’s high time our “independents” finally stood up

Better late than never. Independents like Bob Katter, Rob Oakeshott, Tony Windsor and, er, Craig Thomson have a good chance to salvage at least some credibility; credibility perhaps irretrievably lost for continuing to side with arguably the worst, most wasteful, most deceitful, most incompetent government in Australia’s long, proud, democratic history.

And all they have to do is support a No Confidence motion.

A majority of voters believe the independent MPs in parliament should back a no-confidence motion in Julia Gillard’s government to bring on an early election.

A Galaxy poll for the Herald Sun shows that just three in 10 voters would tick the Labor box at the next federal election, which is worse than when the party was split in the 1950s when the DLP was formed.

Labor has been wiped out in Queensland and NSW. They’re struggling in the red state, Victoria. They’ve lost it to the Greens in Tasmania. They’re certainly on the nose in WA. And federally, has labor ever had worse numbers?

Can anybody in their right mind see them hanging on another 18 harrowing, bluderous months until the next election officially has to be had?

Business confidence is shot. The public by and large has had a gut. Enough is enough.

The link showed results for a reasonably scientific Galaxy poll, but also have a gander at some of the poll results displayed on the ninemsn website. No, they’re not nearly as scientific, but do keep in mind ninemsn and its readers are hardly the most conservative lot.

This has gone far beyond ideological rants.

Also note, it’s not as if there’s an “anti-ALP” poll every day. Far from it. No. To find the next one we have to go back to March 25th.

It’s as if the PM is living on a different planet, however.

JULIA Gillard has batted away suggestions she should stand down, saying she will lead Labor to the next election.

The Prime Minister was defiant today amid renewed leadership rumblings over her handling of the Peter Slipper and Craig Thomson scandals.

How can she or her party NOT be reading the writing on the walls?

She won’t do what needs to be done. If her party had any sense, they’d do what needs to be done. But it looks like they don’t (paging Bill Shorten), so they won’t.

The politicians’ curse.

The question is: will our “independents” continue to be as mad as this government is? Will they continue to serve their own narrow interests?

Or will they, just maybe, do what’s best for the nation… at least just this once?*

*it might help them get a decent job after the next election, too…

Julia will be lucky to make it to the end of the day

And she doesn’t deserve to make it til lunch.

SENIOR minister Craig Emerson has admitted there is leadership “chatter” in the Labor caucus and questions over Julia Gillard’s handling of the Craig Thomson and Peter Slipper scandals.

Chatter? Mere chatter? Doesn’t anybody shows those guys the polls? Don’t they go out any more and have a chat with folks (who’d dare)?

Let’s face it. It’s almost definitely more than “chatter”. Surprised we haven’t seen anyone front the cameras sporting a black eye.

Might as well swan off now

Who else thought he’s been sounding a bit “politiciany” lately?

MINING magnate Clive Palmer is due to take on Wayne Swan at the next federal election, announcing today he will seek Liberal National Party preselection for the seat of Lilley.

Mr Palmer said today he was seeking to run in the seat because he and the Treasurer had “differing views of what was good for the country”.

With Labor as polular as cancer at the moment – and even if they knife Gillard, their repuation will still be in tatters – toppling the lame duck Swan shouldn’t be a problem.

Just go easy on the CIA stuff, Clive.

UPDATE

No Clive, but regardless, you could probably run almost anyone you like. And the bloke Abbott likes isn’t just anyone.

Go Joe!

Joe Hildebrand tears Gillard, Swan, and the ALP in general a new one.

Adam Carolla, eat your heart out!

H/T Bolta

Good Riddance Bob Brown

Finally, he’s out of politics.

Andrew Bolt predicts a slow decline for the Greens.

Hope so. The Bob Brown cancer on Australian politics has metastasized enough.

Confirmed: no global warming for the past 15 years

So why oh why PM Gillard your continued push for a carbon dioxide tax, a tax that will do nothing to avert something that isn’t even happening anyway, that the people don’t want, and that is detroying both your own reputation and the very future existence of the ALP as a major political force?

New UK Met Office global temperature data confirms that the world has not warmed in the past 15 years.

Analysis by the GWPF of the newly released HadCRUT4 global temperature database shows that there has been no global warming in the past 15 years – a timescale that challenges current models of global warming.

The graph shows the global annual average temperature since 1997. No statistically significant trend can be discerned from the data. The only statistically acceptable conclusion to be drawn from the HadCRUT4 data is that between 1997 – 2011 it has remained constant, with a global temperature of 14.44 +/- 0.16 deg C (2 standard deviations.)

“[I]t has remained constant”. No warming. No cooling. It’s hard to even argue climate change on that one.

Still think a carbon dioxide tax is a good idea for Australia, Julia?

It’s crushing her popularity, but still she marches on over the electoral cliff. And as if the evidence in Australia wasn’t clear enough, there are other further-developed examples Australia has the luxury of examining.

Sagging carbon prices lost nearly 14% of their value yesterday (2 April) as recession and a warm winter sparked a predicted 2.6% drop in carbon emissions from the 10,000 installations covered by the EU’s Emissions Trading System (ETS) last year. The already-depressed carbon price dived from €7 to a record low of €6.14 by early afternoon

€6.14 works out at just under $7.90 Australian, and yet despite unprecedented election wipeouts in multiple states, Gillard still thinks Australia’s going to cop $23.

All I can say is, KEEP GOING JULIA!

A man

That’s all it takes.

About a year ago, one man, Campbell Newman, decided it was time to change.

He decided to move on from being a successful Mayor of Brisbane.

He decided that a split Opposition wasn’t the solution.

The former Army engineer went into battle, this time for the state of Queensland, a state entrenched in Labor rule for the best part of more than 20 years.

One man.

Of course, a single man can’t do it alone but every team needs a good leader.

Arguably, Queensland had wanted a new team with a good leader for years.

However no viable change was on offer.

Newman recognised this.

He formed a new team.

And yesterday, Australia witnessed hegemony crumble.

Queensland Labor will be lucky to have serving members in the double digits.

A vote against the carbon dioxide tax?

Yes and no.

No because this was definitely a state election. This was about Queensland, for Queensland. Just ask any Queenslander.

Yes because whilst not specifically about the carbon dioxide tax, it was a vote against the general progressive Leftism Australia has had a look into.

We’ve had a look and we don’t like what we see.

So in that sense, the federal Fabian Socialist Gillard government, mired in unholy matrimony with the radical Left Greens, should be very worried indeed.

It is oft mused that Australia is a follower, that international trends eventually find their way here.

Obama’s change was here to stay. The New Europe was the future and to be emulated.

Yesterday proved the utter bullshit of that misconception.

Today Queensland is at the tip of the political tongue.

And that tongue speaketh ill of progressivism, including pseudo environmentalism.

Watch out, Gillard.

Watch out, Brown.

The wall upon which you are perched is crumbling fast.

The people have spoken.

Refuse to listen and keep double crossing us at your peril.

And now they beg

At first disgraceful, now pathetic.

Dennis Atkins:

Three weeks ago, commentators elsewhere were singing that Labor was losing the election and winning the campaign. Now those same songbirds are chirping that this is the worst Labor campaign in living memory.

Perhaps the truth lies in between.

They needed to tear down Campbell Newman and make sure the damage landed heavily in the seat of Ashgrove.

It was high-risk. All bets went one way and there was no laying off.

It worked for a while but then Premier Anna Bligh stuffed up. She said she had nothing. Can’t walk back from that.

Campaign desperado Anthony Chisholm knows deep in his dark soul the only card left is – leave us with something. It’s begging and it’s humiliating.

The dirtiest election campaign ever? Shame on Queensland Labor

Debate policies, don’t just engage in a never-ending tirade of baseless smears. QLD premier Anna Bligh, the lot of them in fact, have taken politics to a new low.

She’s going down in a blaaaaaze o’ gory… Anna don’ wanna miss a thing

You can almost understand smear as a last resort tactic for an outgoing government that’s got nothing…soften the blow and all that. Fuck. What else can you do? Mime? Wear a pink top?

And in fairness, after 20-odd years, heck, even most dictatorships don’t last that long let alone a democratically elected mob.

Kudos.

But for then a federal government that claims it has everything, a relatively fresh federal government, to resort to smears every day because it can’t champion its own policies?

Oh, blah blah blah, Tony Abbott’s fault even though he ain’t the one in charge. I am. But it’s still his fault, nyeehhh.

Julia Gillard is 20 years ahead of her time.

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Now just wait for the media and journalism academics at the universities to  – rightly – state this is a natural and healthy symptom of democracy.

The grind?

It was also a natural and healthy symptom of democracy when Joh/the Nationals were booted out in quite similar circumstances.

Yet, hmm, that wasn’t how they put it back then.

And it wasn’t how they put it years later. It was all Mr nNaaaaasypants!

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Indeed, the next instalment of hit crime docu-drama Underbelly will indeed be about the Joh years, culminating in the Fitzgerald Inquiry, the sacking and jailing of the (Sir) Police Commissioner and Jack the Bagman.

Give it a few seasons, and surely it will be about the Goss/Beattie/Bligh establishment, Kevin Rudd as chief of staff, the Heiner Affair and all that jazz, too…

Right?